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2022-03-22
As the global demand for clean energy continues to grow, governments around the world are interested in the most direct clean energy - solar power generation, and have launched numerous fiscal policies to support it. But the key driver for any product is cost reductions, as the cost of solar power rises in 2021 as a result of widespread economic malaise, supply chain constraints, and more.
Costs for some parts of the solar industry rose 18 percent last year, according to a report released Thursday by the Solar Energy Industries Association and Wood Mackenzie. This is the first year that prices have risen in all three markets (residential, commercial and utility-scale) since Wood Mackenzie began tracking the data in 2014.
In addition to supply chain bottlenecks, trade actions and policy uncertainty are weighing on the industry, the report said. Nonetheless, the solar industry added 23.6 gigawatts of new capacity during 2021, a 19% increase from 2020 levels. Texas added the most solar for the year, surpassing California for the first time.
On the residential side, installations increased by 30% year-on-year to a new record of over 500,000 units.
The infrastructure added 17 gigawatts of capacity, also a record. But installs ended up being lower than expected. A third of infrastructure-scale projects that were supposed to be completed in the fourth quarter were delayed by at least a quarter. Additionally, 13% of projects scheduled for completion this year were delayed by a year or more, or cancelled outright.
The price hikes in the second quarter of 2021 and last year first started and plagued the industry for the rest of the year. Analysts say things could get worse before an inflection point occurs.
Michelle Davis, principal analyst at Wood Mackenzie and lead author of the report, said: "Last year's supply chain constraints will hit capacity hardest in 2022, down 7% from 2021. "But our forecasts show that long-term growth will outweigh these short-term challenges, especially if the federal government passes clean energy incentives."
Davis said that if the Investment Tax Credit Act is passed, solar capacity will increase sixfold by 2032. The U.S. International Trade Commission is the linchpin of solar subsidies, including a better rebuilding plan proposed by President Joe Biden. On the other hand, without policy action, the U.S. will reach only 39 percent of what Biden needs to decarbonize by 2035, the report said.
The report comes as the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is deteriorating and conversations around energy security are reviving. Opinions on next steps are mixed - some say oil and gas production needs to increase, while others believe high oil and gas prices should accelerate the energy transition. Still others say that all of the above positions need to be taken when it comes to energy.
Abigail Ross Hopper, SEIA CEO and President, said: "In the face of global supply uncertainty, we must increase clean energy production and eliminate our dependence on adversary countries for energy needs". "The solution is already in front of policymakers," she said, referring to the ITC and investment in manufacturing.
She added that "America's energy independence depends on our ability to deploy solar energy, and the opportunity before us has never been more obvious or urgent."
SES Power believes that this situation is based on a special background and a special period, and in the long run, the cost of solar power generation will only gradually decrease. This situation is unsustainable, just like the rapid rise in the price of raw materials for lithium batteries. Our 12V100Ah, 24V100Ah, 36V100Ah, 48V100Ah, household energy storage HESS (3KW) using EVE, CATL, BYD square aluminum lithium iron phosphate batteries, these products are often used in the energy storage of solar power generation, and they are also affected by the impact of price increases. Of course, the price of hardware accessories is also rising. Therefore, for a period of time in the future, UPS, data center, energy storage system, photovoltaic power generation, home energy storage, power battery replacement, electric product battery, etc. will all show a trend of rising prices.