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2022-04-25
Rising battery cell prices affect the energy storage market, what should we do?
GGII data shows that in 2021, China's energy storage battery shipments will increase by more than 270% year-on-year. The data is very encouraging because it is being done at a time when the world is still suffering from a global economic slowdown.
But this has also brought another consequence. Since September last year, the prices of upstream raw materials have been "singing forward", and there are still acts of malicious roasting and hoarding in the market. But even under such cost pressure, material suppliers are still in short supply. Since the beginning of this year, lithium carbonate has increased by about 78.57%, nickel has increased by about 45.16%; cobalt has increased by 16.32%. To put it directly, the high price of finished products has not made lithium-ion battery manufacturers more profitable, and it is the mines and transporters who are making substantial profits.
With SES Power's years of experience in customizing lithium-ion battery systems, the lithium-ion energy storage system is mainly composed of battery packs, energy storage converters (PCS), battery management systems (BMS), energy management systems (EMS) and other electrical equipment. Among them, the cost of battery pack accounts for nearly 60%, PCS accounts for 10-20%, and other costs account for about 20-30%.
Energy storage companies generally believe that such increases will not last long, but this situation does have a greater impact on the industry and increases risks. The impact of this price increase on different companies is also different. Everyone's attitude towards this market is very firm. The most important thing at this stage is to eliminate the expectation of price increases at the source even under the circumstances of a lot of realistic pressure.
In our opinion, most companies will make a relatively conservative decision at present. Enterprises with relatively strong strength may digest the price increase of battery cells when the project is confirmed. However, companies with relatively weak capital chains cannot withstand the price pressure and can only follow the price increase.
In this "price war", stabilizing the market is like stabilizing the military's heart. Leading enterprises and leading brands act as the true leader of an industry when they can accommodate themselves, which is one of the most important ways to stabilize the market.
It is worth noting that under the current situation of global energy tension, the price increase of lithium batteries does not really affect the demand, and the global market is generally more accepting of price increases.
The surge in lithium battery raw materials has put SES Power under tremendous pressure. We use 12V100Ah, 12V200Ah, 24V100Ah, 24V200Ah, 36V100Ah, 48V50Ah, 48V100Ah, etc. 12V50Ah, 12V60Ah car starting batteries (the maximum peak current can reach 1500A), almost need to be costed once a week. In response to the upstream price increase, we upgrade our products on the one hand, and strive to guide the market with quality. On the other hand, look for better suppliers and products, or use qualified echelon batteries while ensuring safety and quality. We believe that with the gradual release of upstream production capacity, material prices will enter a downward cycle from the second half of the year to 2023.
This round of price increases has a greater impact on large projects with long project cycles. However, most practitioners face the market rationally and calmly, and actively respond to them, gradually forcing enterprises to deploy and think about multi-technology routes. For example, some companies have accelerated the research and development of sodium ions.
SES Power believes that the industrial system must maintain a reasonable gross profit margin, pay attention to the management system of the entire life cycle of the energy storage system, and follow the inherent laws of the industrial economic system to ensure the healthy development of the market. As the core cost component of the lithium-ion energy storage system project, the substantial price increase directly affects the project income. For these projects, the result is nothing more than requiring developers, integrators and battery manufacturers to make profits in varying degrees to ensure the normal implementation of the project.